Multifidelity Approximate Bayesian Computation with Sequential Monte Carlo Parameter Sampling
نویسندگان
چکیده
Multifidelity approximate Bayesian computation (MF-ABC) is a likelihood-free technique for parameter inference that exploits model approximations to significantly increase the speed of ABC algorithms [T. P. Prescott and R. E. Baker, SIAM/ASA J. Uncertain. Quantif., 8 (2020), pp. 114--138]. Previous work has considered MF-ABC only in context rejection sampling, which does not explore space particularly efficiently. In this work, we integrate multifidelity approach with sequential Monte Carlo (ABC-SMC) algorithm into new MF-ABC-SMC algorithm. We show improvements generated by each ABC-SMC efficiency generating samples estimates from posterior are amplified when two techniques used together.
منابع مشابه
Sequential Monte Carlo with Adaptive Weights for Approximate Bayesian Computation
Methods of Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) are increasingly used for analysis of complex models. A major challenge for ABC is over-coming the often inherent problem of high rejection rates in the accept/reject methods based on prior:predictive sampling. A number of recent developments aim to address this with extensions based on sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) strategies. We build on this h...
متن کاملAn adaptive sequential Monte Carlo method for approximate Bayesian computation
Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a popular approach to address inference problems where the likelihood function is intractable, or expensive to calculate. To improve over Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) implementations of ABC, the use of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods has recently been suggested. Effective SMC algorithms that are currently available for ABC have a computational c...
متن کاملSequential Monte Carlo for Bayesian Computation
Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are a class of importance sampling and resampling techniques designed to simulate from a sequence of probability distributions. These approaches have become very popular over the last few years to solve sequential Bayesian inference problems (e.g. Doucet et al. 2001). However, in comparison to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), the application of SMC remains l...
متن کاملAutomatic Kernel Selection for Gaussian Processes Regression with Approximate Bayesian Computation and Sequential Monte Carlo
The current work introduces a novel combination of two Bayesian tools, Gaussian Processes (GPs), and the use of the Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) algorithm for kernel selection and parameter estimation for machine learning applications. The combined methodology that this research article proposes and investigates offers the possibility to use different metrics and summary statistics of...
متن کاملOn optimality of kernels for approximate Bayesian computation using sequential Monte Carlo.
Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has gained popularity over the past few years for the analysis of complex models arising in population genetics, epidemiology and system biology. Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) approaches have become work-horses in ABC. Here we discuss how to construct the perturbation kernels that are required in ABC SMC approaches, in order to construct a sequence of distr...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification
سال: 2021
ISSN: ['2166-2525']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1137/20m1316160